{
  "schemaVersion": "1.6",
  "slug": "assignment-aligned-effective-states",
  "title": "When a neuron label is not enough",
  "shortTitle": "When a neuron label is not enough",
  "url": "https://evidencepress.org/releases/assignment-aligned-effective-states/",
  "oneLine": "A neuron can rank its assigned meaning well while its thresholded label loses information needed for decisions and edits.",
  "abstract": "An audit of one published five-variable 2-SAT transformer separates semantic ranking, threshold fidelity, numerical effective-state geometry, final-readout agreement and clause-edit sufficiency. Seventeen source-nominated labels rank strongly on protected data. A fresh, balanced 4096-formula source-grammar bank retains strong ranking, but some fixed thresholds miss many positives. An exact Boolean edit collision identifies information absent from the specified report. This is a single-checkpoint case study, not a verdict on competing general theories of representation.",
  "datePublished": "2026-10-18",
  "dateModified": "2026-10-18",
  "version": "4.8.0",
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23454637",
  "doiUrl": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23454637",
  "conceptDoi": null,
  "pdfUrl": "https://github.com/ipitchford/assignment-aligned-effective-states/releases/download/v4.8.0-candidate/paper.pdf",
  "altPdfUrl": "https://github.com/ipitchford/assignment-aligned-effective-states/releases/download/v4.8.0-candidate/supplement.pdf",
  "altPdfLabel": "Technical supplement (PDF)",
  "repoUrl": "https://github.com/ipitchford/assignment-aligned-effective-states",
  "releaseUrl": "https://github.com/ipitchford/assignment-aligned-effective-states/releases/tag/v4.8.0-candidate",
  "markdownUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/releases/assignment-aligned-effective-states/index.md",
  "bibtexUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/releases/assignment-aligned-effective-states/cite.bib",
  "audioUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/assets/audio/assignment-aligned-effective-states.mp3",
  "imageUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/assets/og/assignment-aligned-effective-states.png?v=aed8eca866",
  "coverArtUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/assets/art/assignment-aligned-effective-states.svg?v=6ac7047053",
  "media": [
    {
      "type": "audio",
      "url": "https://evidencepress.org/assets/audio/assignment-aligned-effective-states.mp3",
      "name": "Plain-English audio briefing",
      "description": "Communication aid; not additional research evidence.",
      "transcriptUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/assets/audio/assignment-aligned-effective-states.txt"
    }
  ],
  "authors": [
    "Anonymous"
  ],
  "license": "CC0-1.0",
  "licenseAppliesTo": "original prose, data and diagrams only",
  "archiveLicense": "LicenseRef-Component-Specific",
  "licenseScope": "Original prose, data and diagrams: CC0-1.0. Original code: MIT. Retained upstream components keep their own terms. External dependencies are not redistributed. Consult the package rights inventory; the archive as a whole is not licensed under CC0.",
  "status": "unrefereed-candidate",
  "verification": {
    "peerReviewed": false,
    "independentlyReproduced": false,
    "formallyVerified": false,
    "internallyReplayed": true,
    "detail": "Single-checkpoint AI-assisted audit with 18 public producer-replay stages passed. Not externally peer reviewed, independently reproduced or formally verified. Version 4.8.0 is archived on GitHub and Zenodo."
  },
  "assurance": [
    {
      "dimension": "availability",
      "label": "Availability and archiving",
      "question": "Is the evidence package publicly retrievable from an archive under a persistent identifier?",
      "state": "passed",
      "note": "GitHub candidate tag v4.8.0-candidate and Zenodo record 23454637 are public. All five asset sizes/provider digests match; four smaller assets also passed download parity. Archive access does not establish correctness or independent reproduction."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "internalReplay",
      "label": "Internal replay",
      "question": "Does the producer’s own pipeline reproduce the stated result from the archived package?",
      "state": "passed",
      "note": "Clean producer replay passed all 18 public stages with 1367 payload files unchanged. This is not the private 23-stage historical route, independent reproduction or a new checkpoint replication."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "independentRerun",
      "label": "Independent rerun",
      "question": "Has someone else run the supplied implementation and obtained the stated result?",
      "state": "not-assessed",
      "note": "No unaffiliated replication established."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "independentReimplementation",
      "label": "Independent reimplementation",
      "question": "Has someone else reached the result from an independent implementation?",
      "state": "not-assessed",
      "note": "Producer checking is not independent reproduction."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "formalVerification",
      "label": "Formal verification",
      "question": "Is a formalised statement machine-checked, and over which trusted base?",
      "state": "not-assessed",
      "note": "No proof-assistant verification."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "specialistReview",
      "label": "Specialist review",
      "question": "Has a domain specialist assessed the argument?",
      "state": "not-assessed",
      "note": "No external specialist review established."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "editorialPeerReview",
      "label": "Editorial peer review",
      "question": "Has a journal or venue run peer review to a decision?",
      "state": "not-assessed",
      "note": "Internal AI-assisted review only."
    },
    {
      "dimension": "dataEnvironmentReproducibility",
      "label": "Data and environment reproducibility",
      "question": "Are data and computational environment pinned well enough to rebuild?",
      "state": "not-assessed",
      "note": "Second-host replay not established."
    }
  ],
  "provenance": {
    "aiGenerated": true,
    "aiAssisted": true,
    "generatedBy": [
      "OpenAI Codex: audit, revision and publication preparation"
    ],
    "humanRole": "Publication authority; no human scientific contribution inferred.",
    "reviewStatus": "Internal AI-assisted review, not external peer review."
  },
  "attributionBoundary": null,
  "problem": null,
  "orderedProductAverage": null,
  "corrections": [],
  "publicCorrections": [],
  "publicCorrectionIndexes": null,
  "pageStructureVersion": "2.0",
  "pageStructureVariant": "canonical-theorem",
  "pageStructureWaivers": [],
  "recordMaturity": "current",
  "metadataProvenance": "Version 4.8.0 research gate and clean 18-stage public replay passed; 1367 payload files unchanged by replay. GitHub and Zenodo publication confirmed with all five asset sizes and provider digests matched; the four smaller assets were also downloaded from both providers.",
  "grandfatheredAtSchemaVersion": null,
  "keywords": [
    "mechanistic interpretability",
    "2-SAT",
    "semantic ranking",
    "threshold fidelity",
    "causal abstraction",
    "reproducibility"
  ],
  "keyResults": [
    "Strong assignment ranking does not establish fixed-threshold fidelity.",
    "A fresh 4096-formula balanced source-grammar bank supports ranking transfer within the same checkpoint, not independent replication.",
    "A current truth table and the specified bit report cannot determine every Boolean-enumerated clause-replacement outcome."
  ],
  "reviews": [],
  "evidencePackage": "Protected tests, same-checkpoint fresh-bank native forwards, Boolean enumeration and scoped producer replay; broader checkpoint generalization is unestablished.",
  "openProblems": [],
  "mathObjects": [],
  "relatedWorks": [
    {
      "citation": "Palumbo et al. (2025), Validating Mechanistic Interpretations: An Axiomatic Approach. Source model and interpretation.",
      "url": "https://proceedings.mlr.press/v267/palumbo25a.html",
      "doi": null
    },
    {
      "citation": "Cammarata, Neural Networks Are Already Clean. Motivating essay, not a theorem tested wholesale.",
      "url": "https://already-clean.goodfire.com/",
      "doi": null
    },
    {
      "citation": "Geiger et al. (2025), Causal Abstraction: A Theoretical Foundation for Mechanistic Interpretability.",
      "url": "https://jmlr.org/papers/v26/23-0058.html",
      "doi": null
    }
  ],
  "claimAssurance": null,
  "operatingModel": {
    "version": "1.0",
    "workId": "ep-work:assignment-aligned-effective-states",
    "attemptIds": [
      "ep-attempt:assignment-aligned-effective-states-publication"
    ],
    "aims": [
      "science"
    ],
    "artifactRoles": [
      "evidence-assessment",
      "research-output",
      "communication"
    ],
    "lineageId": null,
    "accelerationPrimitives": [
      "identification-gate",
      "counterexample-proxy-first",
      "assurance-vector",
      "agent-readable-research-object"
    ],
    "decisionObject": {
      "type": "measurement-requirement",
      "description": "Separate semantic ranking, threshold fidelity and action sufficiency before using a neuron report.",
      "scope": "One fixed five-variable 2-SAT checkpoint and declared banks/reports."
    },
    "bottleneckTargeted": [
      "assurance",
      "publication"
    ],
    "semanticBridge": {
      "state": "explicit",
      "description": "Boolean edit outcomes, native forward responses and classifier agreement are distinct estimands.",
      "remainingRisks": [
        "Single-checkpoint scope; no broader theory discrimination.",
        "Fresh bank is balanced and history-excluded, not natural-prevalence IID."
      ]
    },
    "humanJudgmentGates": [
      "Publication authorised; interpretation of semantic and causal scope requires specialist judgment."
    ],
    "parentLinks": [
      {
        "relation": "depends-on-claim",
        "workId": null,
        "legacyReleaseSlug": null,
        "externalUrl": "https://proceedings.mlr.press/v267/palumbo25a.html",
        "inheritedClaim": "Published checkpoint, neuron labels and interpretation.",
        "inheritedAssuranceCeiling": "Source study is an antecedent; this producer audit is not independent external replication."
      }
    ],
    "assuranceTarget": {
      "dimensions": [
        "independentRerun",
        "specialistReview"
      ],
      "nextAction": "Rerun the public package and test the frozen audit on independently trained checkpoints.",
      "claimCeiling": "A bounded empirical case study, not universal representational or alignment conclusions."
    },
    "impactClaims": [
      {
        "id": "assignment-aligned-effective-states-no-impact",
        "aim": "science",
        "outcome": "A reusable separation of interpretation endpoints.",
        "setting": "One 2-SAT transformer",
        "status": "NO_IMPACT_EVIDENCE",
        "designClass": "none",
        "comparator": "No workflow comparator.",
        "estimand": "No acceleration or downstream impact effect measured.",
        "evidenceRefs": [],
        "registeredDesignRef": null,
        "independentAssessment": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "researchMetrics": {
    "schemaVersion": "1.0",
    "policyUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/api/research-metrics-policy.json",
    "outcomePolicyUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/api/v2/research-metrics-policy.json",
    "workLedgerUrl": "https://evidencepress.org/api/work-ledger.json",
    "claimCeiling": "These records describe scoped workflow inputs and outcomes. They support calibration and reference-class construction, but do not by themselves establish research acceleration, theorem correctness, novelty, independent assurance or impact.",
    "attempts": [
      {
        "attemptId": "ep-attempt:assignment-aligned-effective-states-publication",
        "status": "published",
        "resultClass": "positive",
        "metrics": {
          "schemaVersion": "1.0",
          "measurementScope": "assurance-through-publication",
          "scopeBoundary": "Remaining publication only; prior research and replay left-censored.",
          "forecast": {
            "frozenAt": "2026-10-18T15:24:40Z",
            "procedureClass": "remaining-candidate-delivery",
            "targetOutcome": "Scoped archived candidate with canonical readback.",
            "expectedActiveMinutes": 90,
            "plausibleLowMinutes": 45,
            "plausibleHighMinutes": 180,
            "expectedUnattendedWaitMinutes": 30,
            "referenceClass": {
              "label": "Remaining candidate publication",
              "sampleSize": 0,
              "basis": "Procedural judgement, not empirical calibration."
            },
            "fermiComponents": [
              {
                "component": "Archive, media and guarded delivery",
                "count": 1,
                "lowMinutesPerUnit": 45,
                "centralMinutesPerUnit": 90,
                "highMinutesPerUnit": 180,
                "basis": "Final package/provider/site gates remain."
              }
            ],
            "probabilityPositiveSignal": 0.9,
            "probabilityTargetClosure": 0.8,
            "probabilityHorizonMinutes": 360,
            "assumptions": [
              "No provider or rights blocker."
            ],
            "reforecastTriggers": [
              "Provider failure or public-byte mismatch."
            ],
            "stopRule": "Never weaken assurance to meet forecast."
          },
          "outcome": {
            "status": "unavailable",
            "policyVersion": "2.0",
            "recordedAt": "2026-10-18T17:25:21.471Z",
            "reason": "Gate and delivery observations do not provide complete effort telemetry. No retrospective reconstruction or calibration.",
            "missingFields": [
              {
                "field": "calendarElapsedMinutes",
                "reason": "Observed opening and delivery times are retained as milestones; elapsed wall time is not active effort and no numeric metrics series is emitted."
              },
              {
                "field": "activeAgentMinutes",
                "reason": "The scoped activeAgentMinutes counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "unattendedWaitMinutes",
                "reason": "The scoped unattendedWaitMinutes counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "blockedMinutes",
                "reason": "The scoped blockedMinutes counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "reworkMinutes",
                "reason": "The scoped reworkMinutes counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "agentRuns",
                "reason": "The scoped agentRuns counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "maxParallelAgents",
                "reason": "The scoped maxParallelAgents counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "modelTurns",
                "reason": "The scoped modelTurns counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "researchCycles",
                "reason": "The scoped researchCycles counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "falsificationGatesRun",
                "reason": "The scoped falsificationGatesRun counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "candidateArchitecturesTested",
                "reason": "The scoped candidateArchitecturesTested counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "candidateArchitecturesRejected",
                "reason": "The scoped candidateArchitecturesRejected counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "substantiveReviewRounds",
                "reason": "The scoped substantiveReviewRounds counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "p0Findings",
                "reason": "The scoped p0Findings counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "p1Findings",
                "reason": "The scoped p1Findings counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "prepublicationClaimCorrections",
                "reason": "The scoped prepublicationClaimCorrections counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "resultState",
                "reason": "Published candidate delivery is observed in statusHistory; incomplete workflow telemetry does not negate publication."
              },
              {
                "field": "positiveSignalObserved",
                "reason": "Candidate publication evidence is retained separately; no calibrated signal metric is inferred."
              },
              {
                "field": "targetReached",
                "reason": "Delivery target is recorded in statusHistory; no calibrated target metric is inferred."
              },
              {
                "field": "forecastErrorMinutes",
                "reason": "Active effort was not measured; forecast error cannot be computed from wall time."
              },
              {
                "field": "forecastRatio",
                "reason": "Active effort was not measured; elapsed time is not a valid active-effort denominator."
              },
              {
                "field": "withinForecastInterval",
                "reason": "Active effort was not measured, so interval membership is unknown."
              },
              {
                "field": "activeHumanMinutes",
                "reason": "The scoped activeHumanMinutes counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "computeMinutes",
                "reason": "The scoped computeMinutes counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "deduplicatedModelTokens",
                "reason": "The scoped deduplicatedModelTokens counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              },
              {
                "field": "uncachedInputTokens",
                "reason": "The scoped uncachedInputTokens counter was not instrumented or aggregated; unknown is not zero, and no estimate is inferred from logs, elapsed time or left-censored work."
              }
            ],
            "calibration": null
          }
        },
        "missingnessReason": null
      }
    ]
  }
}